Monday, 29 August 2016

Gold Slips on Steady Dollar

Gold slips on steady dollar with Fed rate hike in focus  
Gold edged lower on Monday as the dollar got a boost after hawkish comments from Federal  
Reserve Chair Janet Yellen left the door open to a US interest rate hike as early as next month. The case for raising US interest rates has strengthened in recent months due to improvements in the labour market and expectations for moderate economic growth, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Friday. Spot gold had dipped 0.25 per cent to $1,317.60 per ounce by 0344 GMT. The metal closed last week down 1.5 per cent. US gold futures fell 0.41 per cent to $1,320.40.
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"We think the pressure on gold will likely increase as we go into September, as participants are now more willing to bet on a rate hike given what they have gleaned from top Fed officials on Friday," INTL FCStone analyst Edward Meir said in a note. Gold is highly-sensitive to rising U.S. interest rates, which increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar, in which it is priced. Spot gold may drop to support at $1,308 per ounce, as suggested by its wave pattern and a Fibonacci ratio analysis, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. "I think gold prices will still see support at about $1,300 despite what has been said in the Jackson Hole (Fed) symposium. It is of no doubt that the rate hike expectations have gone up for the year ahead," said OCBC Bank analyst Barnabas Gan. 

Hedge funds and money managers increased their net long position in COMEX gold contracts in the week to August 23, while they cut it in silver, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data showed on Friday. The dollar stood tall in Asian trading on Monday with the dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six rivals, steady at 95.523, not far from Friday's high of 95.594, its loftiest level since August 16. Among other precious metals, spot silver dropped about 1 per cent to $18.43 an ounce, and spot palladium eased 0.42 per cent to $682.63 per ounce. Platinum was up 0.29 per cent at $1,070.60 per ounce.

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